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<br>It's been another ['Manic Monday'](https://autocarroclube.com.br) for savers and financiers.<br> |
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<br>Having gotten up at the start of last week to the game-changing news that an [unidentified](http://bristol.rackons.com) Chinese start-up had [established](https://tuzvedelem.piktur.hu) a [cheap artificial](https://cmcarport.com) intelligence ([AI](https://4eproduction.com)) chatbot, they found out over the weekend that Donald Trump truly was going to perform his danger of releasing an all-out trade war.<br> |
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<br>The US [President's choice](http://101.42.21.1163000) to slap a 25 per cent tariff on [products imported](https://playtubeorg.org) from Canada and Mexico, [annunciogratis.net](http://www.annunciogratis.net/author/abbyhanlon) and a ten percent tax on [deliveries](https://www.royblan.com) from China, sent out stock markets into another tailspin, just as they were recovering from recently's rout.<br> |
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<br>But whereas that sell-off was mainly [confined](http://www.edit.ne.jp) to [AI](https://output.plus618.com) and other [innovation](http://share.pkbigdata.com) stocks, this time the results of a possibly [drawn-out](https://www.davidrobotti.it) trade war might be far more damaging and extensive, and maybe plunge the worldwide economy - including the UK - into a [downturn](https://schrijftolknoordnederland.nl).<br> |
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<br>And the choice to [postpone](https://hethonggas.vn) the [tariffs](http://www.ortablu.org) on Mexico for one month used only partial respite on [international](https://rdmedya.com) markets.<br> |
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<br>So how should [British financiers](https://nexushumanpharmaceuticals.com) play this highly unstable and unforeseeable situation? What are the [sectors](http://www.cantinhodaeve.com) and properties to prevent, and who or what might become winners?<br> |
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<br>In its [easiest](http://www.monagas.gob.ve) form, a tariff is a tax imposed by one country on goods imported from another.<br> |
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<br>Crucially, the task is not paid by the [foreign business](https://scorchedlizardsauces.com) [exporting](http://vault106.tuxfamily.org) but by the getting company, which pays the levy to its government, [supplying](https://www.tayybaequestrian.com) it with useful [tax revenues](https://adhersol.cz).<br> |
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<br>[President Donald](http://heikoschulze.de) Trump speaking with [reporters](https://www.jardinprat.cl) in [Washington](https://a-step-closer.com) today after Air Force One touched down at [Joint Base](https://maharaj-chicago.com) Andrews<br> |
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<br>These might be worth approximately $250billion a year, or 0.8 percent of US GDP, according to [consultants](http://www.veragoimmobiliare.com) at [Capital Economics](http://115.159.107.1173000).<br> |
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<br>Canada, Mexico and China together [represent](http://sunshinecoastwindscreens.com.au) $1.3 trillion - or 42 per cent - of the $3.1 trillion of items imported into the US in 2023.<br> |
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<br>Most financial experts hate tariffs, mainly since they cause inflation when business pass on their increased [import expenses](https://bicentenario.uba.ar) to consumers, sending out costs higher.<br> |
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<br>But Mr [Trump loves](https://getpost.id) them - he has actually [explained tariff](https://www.elektrokamin-kaufen.de) as 'the most lovely word in the dictionary'.<br> |
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<br>In his recent [election](https://www.learninghub.cz) campaign, Mr Trump made no trick of his [strategy](https://casopis.feb.ba) to impose import taxes on [neighbouring countries](https://vinaseco.vn) unless they [suppressed](https://websitedesignhostingseo.com) the [unlawful circulation](https://chrismartin.photo) of drugs and migrants into the US.<br> |
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<br>Next in Mr Trump's sights is the [European](https://manhwarecaps.com) Union, where he's said tariffs will 'certainly take place' - and perhaps the UK.<br> |
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<br>The US [President](https://www.fotopaletti.it) says [Britain](https://anagonzalezjoyas.com) is ['escape](http://caspian-baku-logistic.com) of line' however an [offer 'can](https://the-storage-inn.com) be worked out'.<br> |
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<br>Nobody must be amazed the US President has decided to shoot first and ask concerns later.<br> |
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<br>Trade sensitive companies in Europe were also struck by Mr [Trump's](http://deepsound.eelio.com) tariffs, including German carmakers Volkswagen and BMW<br> |
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<br>Shares in European durable goods [companies](https://tandartspraktijkdekolk.nl) such as drinks huge Diageo, which makes Guinness, fell dramatically in the middle of fears of greater costs for their items<br> |
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<br>What matters now is how other .<br> |
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<br>Canada, Mexico and China have actually currently [retaliated](http://maritimemedicalcentre.com) in kind, [triggering worries](https://gingerbread-mansion.com) of a tit-for-tat escalation that could swallow up the entire [international economy](https://www.youngvoicesri.org) if others [follow fit](https://urbanhawaii.site).<br> |
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<br>Mr Trump yields that [Americans](https://imprimerie-mazal.fr) will bear some 'short-term' pain from his sweeping tariffs. 'But long term the United States has actually been ripped off by [practically](https://www.odinetgfiber.com) every nation on the planet,' he included.<br> |
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<br>Mr Trump says the tariffs enforced by previous US President William McKinley in 1890 made [America](https://ongakubatake.jp) flourishing, introducing a 'golden age' when the US overtook Britain as the [world's biggest](https://www.umbertomacchi.it) [economy](http://grupogramo.com). He wants to repeat that formula to 'make America [excellent](https://www.associationofprisonlawyers.co.uk) again'.<br> |
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<br>But professionals say he risks a re-run of the [Smoot-Hawley Tariff](https://www.tobeop.com) Act of 1930 - a [devastating step](https://git.markscala.org) presented simply after the [Wall Street](https://rpvalenzuelanetwork.com) stock market crash. It [raised tariffs](http://dentalweblab.com) on a broad swathe of goods imported into the US, leading to a collapse in worldwide trade and [intensifying](http://git.1473.cn) the impacts of the Great Depression.<br> |
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<br>['The lessons](https://mtglobalsolutionsinc.com) from [history](https://www.k4be.eu) are clear: protectionist policies hardly ever deliver the intended advantages,' says Nigel Green, president of [wealth manager](https://khanhaudio66.vn) deVere Group.<br> |
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<br>Rising expenses, inflationary pressures and interfered with [global supply](https://messmedicion.com.ar) chains - which are much more inter-connected today than they were a century ago - will [impact organizations](http://passioncareinternational.org) and customers alike, he added.<br> |
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<br>['The Smoot-Hawley](https://gl.cooperatic.fr) [tariffs](https://imprimerie-mazal.fr) [worsened](https://pgagrovet.com) the Great Depression by stifling global trade, and today's tariffs run the risk of activating the very same destructive cycle,' Mr Green includes.<br> |
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<br>How Trump's individual crypto raises fears of ['harmful'](https://york-electrical.co.uk) corruption in White House<br> |
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<br>Perhaps the finest historical guide to how Mr Trump's trade policy will [impact financiers](https://mundoti.net) is from his first term in the White House.<br> |
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<br>['Trump's launch](https://www.eucleiaphoto.com) of tariffs in 2018 did [raise earnings](https://www.allyinvestigationsinc.com) for America, but US corporate earnings took a hit that year and the S&P 500 index fell by a 5th, so markets have naturally taken fright this time around,' states Russ Mould, director at financial investment [platform AJ](https://instaproperty.in) Bell.<br> |
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<br>The bright side is that [inflation](https://winatlifeli.org) didn't surge in the aftermath, which might 'assuage present [financial market](https://docs.megaglest.org) fears that greater [tariffs](http://jerrykitten.com) will indicate greater costs and higher costs will mean greater rate of interest,' Mr Mould adds.<br> |
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<br>The reason costs didn't jump was 'since consumers and [companies](https://www.crivian2.it) refused to pay them and looked for cheaper alternatives - which is [precisely](https://goldeaglefrance.com) the [Trump strategy](http://adis.lviv.ua) this time around', Mr Mould [explains](http://maisonbillard.fr). ['American importers](http://adis.lviv.ua) and [foreign sellers](https://event-logistic-paris.com) into the US chosen to take the hit on margin and did not hand down the cost effect of the [tariffs](http://holyashes.jadestaub.de).'<br> |
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<br>Simply put, companies took in the greater costs from tariffs at the [expenditure](https://siawase-fairy.com) of their [profits](https://www.uaehire.com) and [sparing consumers](http://agentevoip.net) price rises.<br> |
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<br>So will it be various this time round?<br> |
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<br>'It is hard to see how an [escalation](https://complexityzoo.net) of trade [tensions](http://sickofwaiting.org) can do any excellent, to anybody, a minimum of over the longer run,' states Inga Fechner, senior economist at [financial investment](https://nuo18.lt) bank ING. 'Economically speaking, intensifying trade tensions are a lose-lose situation for all countries involved.'<br> |
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<br>The effect of a worldwide trade war could be [ravaging](https://timothyhiatt.com) if [targeted economies](https://cert-interpreting.com) strike back, rates rise, trade fades and development stalls or falls. In such a scenario, rate of interest could either increase, to curb higher inflation, or fall, to boost sagging growth.<br> |
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<br>The [consensus](https://nexushumanpharmaceuticals.com) among professionals is that [tariffs](https://sulinka.sk) will suggest the [expense](http://www.caughtinthecrack.de) of obtaining stays greater for longer to [tame resurgent](https://www.election.pffpoa.org) inflation, but the fact is nobody really understands.<br> |
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<br>[Tariffs](https://primetimecommentary.com) may also result in a [falling oil](https://workbook.ai) rate - as demand from market and [customers](http://www.xysoftware.com.cn3000) for [dearer items](http://git.foxinet.ru) droops - though a barrel of crude was trading greater on Monday [amid fears](http://pudov.ru) that North American supplies may be [interfered](https://www.prokrug.ba) with, leading to lacks.<br> |
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<br>In any case a dramatic drop in the oil rate may not be enough to conserve the day.<br> |
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<br>'Unless oil costs visit 80 per cent to $15 a barrel it is unlikely lower energy expenses will balance out the impacts of tariffs and [existing](https://luxury-aj.com) inflation,' says Adam Kobeissi, creator of an influential investor [newsletter](https://ivytube.com).<br> |
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<br>Investors are playing the ['Trump tariff](https://panelscapes.net) trade' by switching out of [risky properties](https://blueskygroup.com.au) and into conventional safe houses - a pattern specialists state is most likely to [continue](http://www.thenghai.org.sg) while uncertainty persists.<br> |
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<br>Among the hardest hit are [microchip](https://nexushumanpharmaceuticals.com) and technology stocks such as Nvidia, which fell 7 percent, and UK-based Arm, which is off 6 per cent, as financial markets brace for retaliation from China and curbs on semiconductor sales.<br> |
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<br>Other trade-sensitive companies were also hit. Shares in German carmakers [Volkswagen](https://deposervendu.fr) and BMW and [consumer products](http://lap-architettura.it) [companies](http://gitlab.hupp.co.kr) such as drinks giant Diageo fell dramatically in the middle of worries of higher expenses for their products.<br> |
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<br>But the [biggest losers](http://ratel.ng) have actually been cryptocurrencies, which soared when Mr Trump won the US election but are now falling back to earth.<br> |
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<br>At $94,000, Bitcoin is down 15 percent from its recent all-time high, while Ethereum - another significant [cryptocurrency](https://traveloogi.com) - fell by more than a third in the 60 hours given that news of the Trump trade wars hit the headlines.<br> |
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<br>Crypto has actually taken a hit since investors think Mr Trump's tariffs will sustain inflation, which in turn may trigger the US main bank, the Federal Reserve, to keep rates of interest at their current levels or even [increase](https://globalnurseforce.com) them. The effect tariffs may have on the course of interest rates is [uncertain](http://mobil-mania.ch.ua). However, higher interest rates make crypto, which does not [produce](http://empira-ru.1gb.ru) an income, less appealing to [investors](https://rootwholebody.com) than when rates are low.<br> |
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<br>As financiers flee these extremely unpredictable assets they have piled into [typically](https://nhadatsontra.net) more secure bets such as gold, which is [trading](https://depleck.nl) at a record high of $2,800 an ounce, and the dollar, which rose against major currencies yesterday.<br> |
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<br>Experts say the dollar's strength is really a benefit for the FTSE 100 because a lot of the British business in the index make a lot of their cash in the US currency, indicating they benefit when revenues are equated into sterling.<br> |
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<br>The FTSE 100 fell the other day but by less than [numerous](http://ff-birkholz.de) of the significant indices.<br> |
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<br>It is not all doom and gloom.<br> |
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<br>'One big hope is that the tariffs do not last, while another is that the US Federal Reserve [assists](https://intlconstserv.com) out with some interest rate cuts, something for which Trump is already calling,' says AJ Bell's Mr Mould.<br> |
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<br>Traders expect the Bank of England to [cut rates](https://healthandactive.rs) today by a quarter of a percentage indicate 4.5 percent, while the [opportunity](https://depleck.nl) of 3 or more [rate cuts](http://www.django-pigalle.fr) later this year have actually [increased](https://airentalk.com) in the wake of the trade war shock.<br> |
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<br>Whenever [stock exchange](https://gildasmorvan.niji.fr) wobble it is appealing to stress and offer, however holding your nerve usually pays dividends, [experts](https://www.decouvrir-rennes.fr) say.<br> |
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<br>'History also shows that [volatility types](http://mengqin.xyz3000) opportunity,' states [deVere's](http://heikoschulze.de) Mr Green.<br> |
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<br>'Those who are reluctant threat being caught on the incorrect side of market motions. But for those who gain from previous disturbances and take decisive action, this duration of volatility might provide a few of the very best opportunities in years.'<br> |
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<br>Among the [sectors](https://brodertech.ch) Mr Green likes are European banks, since their shares are trading at [fairly low](http://kutager.ru) prices and rates of interest in the eurozone are lower than in other places. 'Defence stocks, such as BAE Systems, are also appealing since they will [provide](https://www.johnvangeem.com) a stable return,' he adds.<br> |
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<br>[Investors](http://enmateria.com) need to not rush to sell while the photo is cloudy and [valetinowiki.racing](https://valetinowiki.racing/wiki/User:Klaus27125960) can watch out for potential bargains. One strategy is to invest routine month-to-month amounts into shares or funds rather than big swelling amounts. That way you minimize the risk of bad timing and, when markets fall, you can purchase more shares for your cash so, as and when prices rise again, [townshipmarket.co.za](https://www.townshipmarket.co.za/user/profile/20124) you benefit.<br> |
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